Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 47.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Flamengo had a probability of 25.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Flamengo win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
0.18) 
-0.22) 
