Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
-0.35) 
0.1) 
