Instilling some confidence back into what appears to be a broken Flamengo side will not be easy, nor will it happen overnight.
Even if Mineiro yield a weaker side for this encounter, there is so much talent and depth at every position that we have complete confidence they will be able to shut down a struggling offensive unit in Urubu.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
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