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Jun 23, 2022 at 1.30am UK at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Atletico Mineiro
2 - 1
Flamengo
 
FT

We said: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Flamengo

Instilling some confidence back into what appears to be a broken Flamengo side will not be easy, nor will it happen overnight. Even if Mineiro yield a weaker side for this encounter, there is so much talent and depth at every position that we have complete confidence they will be able to shut down a struggling offensive unit in Urubu. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawFlamengo
45.69% (-0.154 -0.15) 24.93% (0.119 0.12) 29.39% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.54% (-0.362 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.53% (-0.486 -0.49)47.47% (0.492 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.32% (-0.452 -0.45)69.68% (0.45700000000001 0.46)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.18% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)20.83% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.5% (-0.41999999999999 -0.42)53.5% (0.426 0.43)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (-0.217 -0.22)29.85% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.06% (-0.267 -0.27)65.94% (0.273 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 45.69%
    Flamengo 29.39%
    Draw 24.93%
Atletico MineiroDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 9.75% (0.119 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.65% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 45.69%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.126 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 7.52% (0.108 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 29.39%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Flamengo
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, June 15 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Santos
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 5-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, June 5 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Avai
Sunday, May 29 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Flamengo
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Cuiaba
Thursday, June 16 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 3-1 Flamengo
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Flamengo
Thursday, June 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-2 Fortaleza
Sunday, June 5 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-2 Flamengo
Sunday, May 29 at 10pm in Brasileiro
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