Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.
-0.22) 
0.3) 
