Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 36.02%. A win for Goias had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.53%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Goias win was 1-0 (11.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fortaleza in this match.
-0.57) 
0.84) 
