SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 63.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 16.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Coritiba |
63.5% ( -0.14) | 20.3% ( 0.07) | 16.2% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.3% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58% ( -0.18) | 42% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.59% ( -0.18) | 64.4% ( 0.19) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.42% ( -0.09) | 12.58% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.34% ( -0.2) | 38.65% ( 0.21) |
| Coritiba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.97% ( -0.02) | 39.02% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.25% ( -0.02) | 75.74% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Coritiba |
| 2-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.42% Total : 63.48% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.3% | 0-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 16.2% |
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