Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 47.01%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 25.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
-0.17) 
0.06) 
