Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 53.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Goias had a probability of 21.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
0.63) 
-0.19) 
