Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 60.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 15.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
-0.17) 
0.08) 
