Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 63.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 15.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
-0.42) 
0.17) 
