Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Avai had a probability of 17.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Avai
58.89% ( -1.09)	23.56% ( 0.4)	17.55% ( 0.68)

Both teams to score 45.92% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.7% (

-0.54)

53.3% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.15% (

-0.46)

74.85% (

0.46)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.16% (

-0.59)

17.84% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.41% (

-1.02)

48.59% (

1.01)

Avai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.89% (

0.52)

44.11% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.79% (

0.43)

80.21% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 58.89%

Avai 17.55%

Draw 23.56%

Fortaleza	Draw	Avai
1-0 @ 13.56% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.38% Total : 58.89%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.67% Total : 23.56%	0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.62% Total : 17.55%