Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 76.04%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Avai had a probability of 8.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.53%) and 1-0 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
Result | ||
Palmeiras | Draw | Avai |
76.04% ( -0.18) | 15.37% ( 0.1) | 8.59% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 45.97% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.09% ( -0.23) | 38.91% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.78% ( -0.24) | 61.23% ( 0.24) |
Palmeiras Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.44% ( -0.1) | 8.56% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.39% ( -0.23) | 29.61% ( 0.23) |
Avai Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.28% ( 0.02) | 49.72% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.54% ( 0.01) | 84.46% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Palmeiras | Draw | Avai |
2-0 @ 12.86% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 76.03% | 1-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 15.37% | 0-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 8.59% |
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