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P
Brasileiro | Gameweek 33
Oct 23, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Palestra Italia
A

Palmeiras
3 - 0
Avai

Scarpa (4' pen.), Dudu (55'), Vanderlan (90')
Scarpa (71'), Lopes (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vladimir (2'), Bissoli (40')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Avai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, October 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 0-3 Fluminense
Sunday, October 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 76.04%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Avai had a probability of 8.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.53%) and 1-0 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawAvai
76.04% (-0.178 -0.18) 15.37% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 8.59% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 45.97% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.09% (-0.226 -0.23)38.91% (0.224 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.78% (-0.239 -0.24)61.23% (0.238 0.24)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.44% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)8.56% (0.0931 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.39% (-0.23299999999999 -0.23)29.61% (0.23 0.23)
Avai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02)49.72% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.54% (0.011000000000001 0.01)84.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 76.03%
    Avai 8.59%
    Draw 15.37%
PalmeirasDrawAvai
2-0 @ 12.86% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 10.53% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 10.46% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.36% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 6.47% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.52% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-0 @ 3.18% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 2.22% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.01 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
6-1 @ 0.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 76.03%
1-1 @ 7.31% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.26% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.14% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 15.37%
0-1 @ 2.98% (0.033 0.03)
1-2 @ 2.55% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.04% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 8.59%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, October 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-1 Palmeiras
Monday, October 10 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 Coritiba
Thursday, October 6 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 1-3 Palmeiras
Tuesday, October 4 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-1 Palmeiras
Thursday, September 29 at 1.45am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Santos
Sunday, September 18 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 0-3 Fluminense
Sunday, October 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Avai
Sunday, October 9 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 1-2 Botafogo
Friday, October 7 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 1-2 Atletico GO
Saturday, October 1 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 4-0 Avai
Monday, September 26 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 1-0 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, September 17 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro


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