Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 76.04%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Avai had a probability of 8.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.53%) and 1-0 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.