Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 63.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Avai had a probability of 14.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cuiaba in this match.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
