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Brasileiro | Gameweek 7
May 22, 2022 at 8pm UK
Castelao
F

Fortaleza
0 - 1
Fluminense


Lima (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Henrique (9')
Braz (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Goias
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Fortaleza vs. Athletico PR
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 5-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Fluminense vs. Atletico GO
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Fortaleza 1-0 Fluminense

Both teams have struggled for goals so far, and we expect a low-scoring affair in this one. That said, we are also tipping the home team to claim a hard-fought three points, ending their wait for a league victory this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 46.1%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 24.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
FortalezaDrawFluminense
46.1% (-1.036 -1.04) 29.16% (0.327 0.33) 24.74% (0.713 0.71)
Both teams to score 40.46% (-0.197 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.74% (-0.549 -0.55)65.26% (0.553 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.93% (-0.383 -0.38)84.07% (0.38699999999999 0.39)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (-0.803 -0.8)28.54% (0.806 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.68% (-1.018 -1.02)64.32% (1.023 1.02)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.62% (0.359 0.36)43.38% (-0.354 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.39% (0.297 0.3)79.61% (-0.29299999999999 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 46.1%
    Fluminense 24.73%
    Draw 29.16%
FortalezaDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 15.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.73% (-0.243 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 46.1%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 12.38% (0.26 0.26)
2-2 @ 3.39% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 29.16%
0-1 @ 10.33% (0.3 0.3)
1-2 @ 5.41% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.169 0.17)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 24.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Alianza Lima 0-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, May 19 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 3-1 Fortaleza
Sunday, May 15 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, May 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 River Plate
Thursday, May 5 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, May 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Alianza Lima
Wednesday, April 27 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Union 0-0 Fluminense
Thursday, May 19 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, May 15 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-1 Fluminense
Sunday, May 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Junior
Thursday, May 5 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Coritiba 3-2 Fluminense
Sunday, May 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 0-0 Union
Wednesday, April 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana


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