Sao Paulo have responded well all season long after suffering a setback, losing consecutive encounters only once so far in 2022. Palmeiras only need one or two half-chances to make them count, and those moments have been more than enough to earn them results throughout the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.51%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 1-0 (11.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Palmeiras
34.49% ( -2.83)	29.11% ( -0.27)	36.4% ( 3.1)

Both teams to score 44.54% (

0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.78% (

0.99)

62.22% (

-0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.1% (

0.72)

81.9% (

-0.71)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.1% (

-1.34)

33.89% (

1.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.43% (

-1.48)

70.57% (

1.48)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.37% (

2.61)

32.63% (

-2.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.83% (

2.82)

69.17% (

-2.82)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 34.48%

Palmeiras 36.4%

Draw 29.1%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 11.96% ( -0.91) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.75) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.37) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 34.48%	1-1 @ 13.4% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.1%	0-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.5) 0-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.7) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.37) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.42) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.4%