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SP
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jun 21, 2022 at 12am UK
Estadio do Morumbi
P

Sao Paulo
1 - 2
Palmeiras

Patrick (17')
Vinicius (39'), Reinaldo (45+2'), Neves (46')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gomez (90+1'), Cerqueira (90+6')
Danilo (45+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sao Paulo 1-1 Palmeiras

Even on short rest, neither side should have any trouble mustering the intensity needed to play in this encounter, knowing the rivalry between these two clubs. Palmeiras look determined to win everything possible this year, but Sao Paulo have shown tremendous resiliency after a defeat, and they have defended Palestra well at home, conceding a goal or fewer in their last three domestic home fixtures against them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.59%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (11.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Sao PauloDrawPalmeiras
37.06% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 29.08% (0.09 0.09) 33.85% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 44.55% (-0.257 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.82% (-0.312 -0.31)62.18% (0.314 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.13% (-0.228 -0.23)81.87% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.81% (-0.179 -0.18)32.19% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.33% (-0.204 -0.2)68.67% (0.205 0.2)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.69% (-0.205 -0.2)34.31% (0.208 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.99% (-0.22 -0.22)71.01% (0.22199999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 37.06%
    Palmeiras 33.85%
    Draw 29.08%
Sao PauloDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 12.51% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 37.06%
1-1 @ 13.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.04% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 29.08%
0-1 @ 11.81% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 33.85%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Botafogo 1-0 Sao Paulo
Thursday, June 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 America Mineiro
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 1-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 1-1 Sao Paulo
Saturday, June 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-2 Ceara
Saturday, May 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Ayacucho
Wednesday, May 25 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-2 Atletico GO
Thursday, June 16 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 0-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 Botafogo
Thursday, June 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, June 5 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 0-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, May 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-1 Tachira
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores


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