Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Botafogo
39.25% ( 0.44)	28.63% ( -0.22)	32.12% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 45.5% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.13% (

0.71)

60.86% (

-0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.1% (

0.53)

80.89% (

-0.53)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.81% (

0.62)

30.18% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.66% (

0.73)

66.34% (

-0.74)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.17% (

0.22)

34.83% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.43% (

0.23)

71.56% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Bahia 39.24%

Botafogo 32.11%

Draw 28.62%

Bahia	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 12.59% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.44% Total : 39.24%	1-1 @ 13.28% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.62%	0-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.19% Total : 32.11%