Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 42.63%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Goias would win this match.
-0.42) 
0.11) 
