Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 17.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
-0.38) 
0.13) 
