Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 19.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
2.23) 
-0.38) 
