Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
-1.03) 
0.35) 
