Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 47.44%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 25.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
