Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 50.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
-0.09) 
0.03) 
