Ceara's flawless record is on the line in Sao Paulo, and they are likely to defend it with tooth and claw, so an all-too-familiar draw could be on the cards for both sides in this first-leg encounter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.
0.03) 
-0.05) 
