Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 14.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.