Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
-0.94) 
0.5) 
