Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
0.33) 
-0.02) 
