Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
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