Despite facing their share of adversity over the past couple of months, Vasco have shown plenty of resilience, which we believe will carry them through this tie.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 50.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 24.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
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