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Brasileiro | Gameweek 24
Aug 25, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Heriberto Hulse
G

Criciuma
0 - 1
Gremio


Meritao (19'), Hermes (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Monsalve (86')
Cristaldo (41')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Criciuma and Gremio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Criciuma 2-2 Vasco
Sunday, August 18 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Gremio (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 20 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Criciuma had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Criciuma win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gremio in this match.

Result
CriciumaDrawGremio
30.17% (-0.657 -0.66) 26.65% (-0.291 -0.29) 43.18% (0.946 0.95)
Both teams to score 50.53% (0.58300000000001 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.81% (0.881 0.88)54.18% (-0.884 -0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.4% (0.733 0.73)75.59% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)
Criciuma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)32.73% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)69.29% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.11% (0.883 0.88)24.88% (-0.885 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.5% (1.212 1.21)59.5% (-1.214 -1.21)
Score Analysis
    Criciuma 30.17%
    Gremio 43.18%
    Draw 26.64%
CriciumaDrawGremio
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.323 -0.32)
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.08% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-1 @ 2.63% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.89% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 30.17%
1-1 @ 12.65% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.285 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.64%
0-1 @ 11.33% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.8% (0.14 0.14)
0-2 @ 7.88% (0.129 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.08% (0.165 0.17)
0-3 @ 3.65% (0.149 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.091 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.092 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 43.18%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Criciuma 2-2 Vasco
Sunday, August 18 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Criciuma
Saturday, August 10 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 2-1 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, August 4 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 1-2 Criciuma
Saturday, July 27 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 1-1 Fortaleza
Wednesday, July 24 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Criciuma
Saturday, July 20 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Gremio (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 20 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Gremio 0-2 Bahia
Saturday, August 17 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 2-1 Fluminense
Tuesday, August 13 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-3 Gremio
Saturday, August 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 0-0 Corinthians (1-3 pen.)
Thursday, August 8 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Athletico PR 0-2 Gremio
Sunday, August 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro


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