Having played out eight draws in their previous 10 meetings (Corinthians have claimed two wins), an in-form Gremio should back themselves to finally end their extended sequence without beating Timao to notch a first victory in this fixture since December 2018 and advance to the competition's last eight.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
-0.07) 
0.06) 
