Throughout the tournament, Fluminense have frequently made strong half-time adjustments, and we believe their resiliency will enable them to claim a result in a place that has proven to be quite difficult for them over the past few years.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
-0.55) 
0.51) 
