Gremio have won eight successive competitive games against Fluminense by a single goal, and we believe that will give them a psychological edge on Tuesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%).
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