Gremio have won eight successive competitive games against Fluminense by a single goal, and we believe that will give them a psychological edge on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%).

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Gremio
45.07% ( -0)	25.75% ( -0.03)	29.18% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.75% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.94% (

0.11)

51.06% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.08% (

0.1)

72.91% (

-0.1)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.39% (

0.05)

22.6% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.78% (

0.07)

56.22% (

-0.07)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.16% (

0.07)

31.84% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.72% (

0.08)

68.28% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 45.06%

Gremio 29.18%

Draw 25.75%

Fluminense	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 45.06%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.75%	0-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 29.18%