SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 62.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 15.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
62.32% ( -0.28) | 22.19% ( 0.05) | 15.47% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 45.71% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.67% ( 0.2) | 51.32% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.85% ( 0.17) | 73.15% ( -0.17) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.05% ( -0.02) | 15.95% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.77% ( -0.04) | 45.22% ( 0.04) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.38% ( 0.43) | 45.62% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.57% ( 0.34) | 81.42% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flamengo | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 1-0 @ 13.35% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 12.26% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.92% Total : 62.32% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.66% Total : 22.19% | 0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.35% Total : 15.48% |
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