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Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Jul 21, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Flamengo
4 - 0
Juventude

Pedro (6', 13'), Ribeiro (18'), Lazaro (86')
Barbosa (38'), Pereira (48'), Maia (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Bueno (30'), Pitta (68'), Elton (88')
Jadson (37')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Coritiba
Saturday, July 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 0-0 Goias
Sunday, July 17 at 3pm in Brasileiro

We said: Flamengo 3-0 Juventude

Flamengo are the firm favourites to pick up three points heading into this game, with their performances as of late showcasing real quality. Even though Juventude have managed to secure some draws in recent outings, this one could be a stretch too far, and is something that will certainly test them defensively. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 77.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 7.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.16%) and 3-0 (11.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawJuventude
77.67% (1.405 1.41) 15.11% (-0.72 -0.72) 7.22% (-0.6879 -0.69)
Both teams to score 40.24% (-0.92 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.24% (0.753 0.75)42.76% (-0.756 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.83% (0.744 0.74)65.16% (-0.747 -0.75)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.88% (0.526 0.53)9.11% (-0.5301 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.06% (1.25 1.25)30.94% (-1.254 -1.25)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.27% (-1.278 -1.28)55.72% (1.274 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.69% (-0.763 -0.76)88.31% (0.76000000000001 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 77.65%
    Juventude 7.22%
    Draw 15.11%
FlamengoDrawJuventude
2-0 @ 14.56% (0.2 0.2)
1-0 @ 12.16% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 11.63% (0.44 0.44)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.21 -0.21)
4-0 @ 6.97% (0.42 0.42)
3-1 @ 6.8% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 4.08% (0.094 0.09)
5-0 @ 3.34% (0.274 0.27)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.08 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.95% (0.09 0.09)
6-0 @ 1.33% (0.139 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 77.65%
1-1 @ 7.11% (-0.352 -0.35)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-2 @ 2.49% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 15.11%
0-1 @ 2.97% (-0.222 -0.22)
1-2 @ 2.08% (-0.189 -0.19)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 7.22%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Coritiba
Saturday, July 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, July 14 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Flamengo
Sunday, July 10 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 7-1 Tolima
Thursday, July 7 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Santos 1-2 Flamengo
Saturday, July 2 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Tolima 0-1 Flamengo
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Juventude 0-0 Goias
Sunday, July 17 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 2-2 Juventude
Sunday, July 10 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 1-2 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, July 2 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Juventude
Sunday, June 26 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 3-1 Juventude
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 1-2 Santos
Wednesday, June 15 at 1.30am in Brasileiro


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