SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Flamengo win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Penarol has a probability of 32.14% and a draw has a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Penarol win is 1-0 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.18%).
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Flamengo |
32.14% ( -0.22) | 28.21% ( -0.03) | 39.65% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 46.67% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.59% ( 0.04) | 59.41% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.21% ( 0.03) | 79.79% ( -0.03) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% ( -0.14) | 34.05% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.27% ( -0.15) | 70.73% ( 0.14) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% ( 0.16) | 29.23% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.81% ( 0.2) | 65.18% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Penarol | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 32.13% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.2% | 0-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.6% Total : 39.65% |
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