SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 64.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 14.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
64.63% ( -2.79) | 20.83% ( 1.14) | 14.54% ( 1.66) |
| Both teams to score 47.61% ( 0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.44% ( -1.28) | 47.56% ( 1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% ( -1.19) | 69.76% ( 1.2) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.03% ( -1.22) | 13.97% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.53% ( -2.46) | 41.47% ( 2.47) |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.35% ( 1.72) | 44.65% ( -1.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.35% ( 1.36) | 80.65% ( -1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flamengo | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
| 1-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 12.08% ( -0.45)2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.68)3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.53)4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.29)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.54% Total : 64.62% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.54) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.22)Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.83% | 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.49) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.4)0-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.36% Total : 14.54% |
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