Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 74.69%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Santos had a probability of 8.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.07%) and 3-0 (10.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
0.2) 
-0.42) 
