SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Bahia |
59.37% ( 1.85) | 21.9% ( -0.27) | 18.74% ( -1.58) |
| Both teams to score 53.12% ( -1.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.21% ( -1.1) | 44.79% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.85% ( -1.07) | 67.15% ( 1.07) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.29% ( 0.23) | 14.71% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.09% ( 0.43) | 42.91% ( -0.43) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.28% ( -2.31) | 37.72% ( 2.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.51% ( -2.32) | 74.49% ( 2.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flamengo | Draw | Bahia |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.58) 2-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.63)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.45)3-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.65% Total : 59.36% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.31)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.9% | 0-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.37)0-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.23)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.41% Total : 18.74% |
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