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Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Jul 2, 2022 at 11pm UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos
F

Santos
1 - 2
Flamengo

Zanocelo (66')
Jonatan (24'), Gabriel (43'), Camacho (55'), Zanocelo (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pedro (18'), Barbosa (73')
Maia (63'), Barbosa (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tachira 1-1 Santos
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Tolima 0-1 Flamengo
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Santos 1-2 Flamengo

Recent results have lifted the dark clouds gathering above Flamengo, and they can maintain their momentum by posting a third straight win to overtake Santos in the table - a wide range of attacking options can help the visitors score more than once. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Santos had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Flamengo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.

Result
SantosDrawFlamengo
32.63% (-0.745 -0.75) 27.49% (0.636 0.64) 39.87% (0.107 0.11)
Both teams to score 48.89% (-2.123 -2.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.3% (-2.602 -2.6)56.69% (2.599 2.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (-2.133 -2.13)77.65% (2.132 2.13)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (-1.82 -1.82)32.28% (1.819 1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (-2.109 -2.11)68.78% (2.105 2.11)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-1.163 -1.16)27.8% (1.162 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (-1.513 -1.51)63.39% (1.511 1.51)
Score Analysis
    Santos 32.63%
    Flamengo 39.86%
    Draw 27.49%
SantosDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 10.14% (0.494 0.49)
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-0 @ 5.74% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.237 -0.24)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.216 -0.22)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 32.63%
1-1 @ 12.99% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.859 0.86)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.315 -0.32)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.49%
0-1 @ 11.48% (0.75 0.75)
1-2 @ 8.31% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-2 @ 7.35% (0.253 0.25)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-3 @ 3.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.206 -0.21)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 39.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Tachira 1-1 Santos
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Santos
Saturday, June 25 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 4-0 Santos
Thursday, June 23 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Santos 2-2 Bragantino
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 1-2 Santos
Wednesday, June 15 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Santos
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Tolima 0-1 Flamengo
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Flamengo 3-0 America Mineiro
Saturday, June 25 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Flamengo
Thursday, June 23 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Flamengo
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Cuiaba
Thursday, June 16 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 3-1 Flamengo
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Brasileiro


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