Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 70.25%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Santos had a probability of 10.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.55%) and 3-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
0.16) 
-0.11) 
