SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 19.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Fluminense |
58.26% ( -0.2) | 22.23% ( 0.13) | 19.51% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.39% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.89% ( -0.45) | 45.11% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.55% ( -0.43) | 67.45% ( 0.43) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.82% ( -0.21) | 15.17% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.21% ( -0.41) | 43.79% ( 0.41) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.94% ( -0.19) | 37.06% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.15% ( -0.19) | 73.85% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flamengo | Draw | Fluminense |
| 1-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.54% Total : 58.26% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.22% | 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 1.65% Total : 19.51% |
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