Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 15.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Fluminense
62.74% ( -0.44)	21.92% ( 0.08)	15.34% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 46.23% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.54% (

0.35)

50.46% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.61% (

0.31)

72.39% (

-0.31)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.48% (

-0.02)

15.52% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.57% (

-0.05)

44.43% (

0.05)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.72% (

0.73)

45.28% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.84% (

0.57)

81.15% (

-0.57)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 62.73%

Fluminense 15.34%

Draw 21.91%

Flamengo	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 13.09% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 12.19% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 62.73%	1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.69% Total : 21.91%	0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.37% Total : 15.34%