SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Internacional | 26 | 16 | 46 |
| 3 | Flamengo | 26 | 19 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 26 | 10 | 45 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Flamengo | 26 | 19 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 26 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Corinthians | 26 | 5 | 44 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 15.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Fluminense |
62.74% ( -0.44) | 21.92% ( 0.08) | 15.34% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 46.23% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.54% ( 0.35) | 50.46% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.61% ( 0.31) | 72.39% ( -0.31) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.48% ( -0.02) | 15.52% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.57% ( -0.05) | 44.43% ( 0.05) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.72% ( 0.73) | 45.28% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.84% ( 0.57) | 81.15% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flamengo | Draw | Fluminense |
| 1-0 @ 13.09% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 12.19% ( -0.2)2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 6% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 62.73% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.69% Total : 21.91% | 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.37% Total : 15.34% |
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