Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 44.24%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 27.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
