Cuiaba's positive run of form and recent head-to-head record against Botafogo bodes well heading into Friday's fixture, and they will fancy their chances of causing an upset on home soil.
However, Botafogo can call upon talisman Tiquinho to provide the goods once again up front, and the visitors should do enough to claim maximum points in a closely-fought contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
0.27) 
-0.59) 
