Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 43.48%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 27.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
