Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 49.15%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 22.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0.23) 
