Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 51.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 20.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
