SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 60.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Internacional | Draw | Nacional |
60.16% ( 2.51) | 22.55% ( -0.14) | 17.29% ( -2.37) |
| Both teams to score 48.37% ( -3.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.24% ( -2.89) | 49.76% ( 2.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.24% ( -2.64) | 71.76% ( 2.65) |
| Internacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.87% ( -0.15) | 16.13% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.43% ( -0.28) | 45.57% ( 0.28) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.67% ( -4.4) | 42.33% ( 4.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.28% ( -4.02) | 78.72% ( 4.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Internacional | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 12.45% ( 1.34) 2-0 @ 11.36% ( 1.18)2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.68)3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.3)4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.37)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.18)5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.01% Total : 60.15% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.77)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.59)Other @ 0.81% Total : 22.55% | 0-1 @ 5.87% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.62)0-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.37)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.35)Other @ 1.76% Total : 17.29% |
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