Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
0.62) 
-0.12) 
